Recorded run · Business · 2026-09-15
Two products, one team of six. One retains well and grows slowly; the other grows fast and users leave after a month. Keep both, or consolidate?
Two candidate answers were submitted. Decider picked one and reported how close the call was. The reasoning below is the run's own output, published verbatim.
Keep both and split the team. Each product keeps its own momentum, and we revisit the split in a quarter.
Consolidate on the one that retains, and put all six on it. One product gets real investment instead of two that each have three people.
Consolidating on the product with strong retention is the better choice. Retention is the more reliable signal of product-market fit and durable value; slow growth is usually an optimization or distribution problem, while month-one churn is a structural flaw that more acquisition cannot fix and would only scale a leaky bucket. With only six people, splitting into two three-person teams dilutes execution and risks starving both products, leaving the retaining product under-invested and the churny product still structurally broken after a quarter. Keeping both preserves optionality, reversibility, and some learning from the fast-growing product's acquisition channel, and it defers a hard decision; but that optionality comes at the cost of focus and likely mediocre trajectories. Putting all six on the retaining product gives it real investment to compound from a healthier base, and it is higher-return to fix growth for a product users already keep than to try to repair retention for a product that loses users. Therefore, consolidate on retention rather than split resources.
How to read this
The confidence value is calibrated against outcomes, not a vibe: on JudgeBench, judgements Decider rates 90%+ were correct 99.6% of the time, and the 80–90% band 94.0%. The lowest band flags near-ties where either choice is defensible — an answer, not a failure. Full tables: the product page.
This page is a recorded run published as a worked example. It is not a live call, and nothing here is charged. Raw judgements behind our numbers are published at api.turingcorp.net.
Try your own two options All Business examples
Prefer the other side? Option A is right there above — the point of a calibrated reading is that you can tell a decisive call from a coin flip.